The Tesla Cup 2026 will decide the outcome of the race for Major invites—the matches between Alliance and FaZe, and K27 and B8, will be key.

VRS analyst Finn “Mischief” Farrer has presented an updated forecast on the battle among European teams for invites to the PGL Major Singapore 2026. The post was published on the analyst’s personal page on social media platform X.

According to Mischief, the matches between Alliance and FaZe Clan, and between K27 and B8 Esports at the Tesla Cup 2026, will have the greatest impact on the distribution of the remaining slots. Farrer called them decisive for the race to qualify for the Major.

The analyst also highlighted three tournaments whose results could influence the distribution of invites: Stake Ranked Episode 5, the Tesla Cup 2026, and FiReSPORTS Last Chance 2026. 

Farrer explained that the percentages reflect the frequency of receiving an invite in simulations given a specific tournament result. For example, a 21% probability for a team that finishes in third place means that in 21% of the simulations with that result, the team qualified for the Major. Mischief clarified that the simulation does not cover all possible scenarios. The forecast features the 15 teams most actively competing for invites, though some teams outside the list still have a small chance of qualifying.

Earlier, Mischief reported that The MongolZ secured an invite to the PGL Singapore Major 2026 after winning the 1win Private Club #2. The analyst also noted that BC.Game Esports and Lynn Vision Gaming have a high chance of receiving invitations, while TYLOO risks missing the Major.

Photo: PGL.