Updated odds for qualifying for the PGL Singapore Major 2026: 33.5% chance that Ninjas in Pyjamas will qualify

VRS analyst Finn “Mischief” Farrar assessed the situation for European teams competing for invites to the PGL Singapore Major 2026. The forecast appeared on the expert’s page on X.

According to the published calculations, Astralis, BetBoom Team, and B8 Esports have virtually secured their invitations to the Major—their chances exceed 87%. Following them are Nemiga Gaming and HEROIC, whose chances of qualifying stand at 79.9%. Also in the invite zone are FaZe Clan (77.7%), PARIVISION (77.4%), Natus Vincere (67.2%), IC Esports (65.5%), magic (64.7%), and Alliance (40.3%).

Also worth noting are Luminosity Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas, who performed well at their most recent LAN tournaments—their chances of receiving an invite now stand at 39.3% and 33.5%, respectively. Conversely, BIG (39.2%), 100 Thieves (27.5%), and 1w Team (23.2%) are currently in a slump and risk missing the Major.

The PGL Singapore Major 2026 will take place from November 25 through December 13 in Singapore. Thirty-two teams will compete in the tournament, with the champion to be determined following four stages. The event’s prize pool will total $1,250,000.

Photo by Igor Bezborodov, ESL.