Natus Vincere risks missing the PGL Singapore Major 2026, while Nemiga Gaming and HOTU are battling for the final slots

VRS analyst Finn “Mischief” Farrer has published an updated forecast on the European teams’ race to qualify for the PGL Singapore Major 2026. The latest calculations were posted on his page on social media platform X.

According to the new calculations, Team Spirit, Team Vitality, Team Falcons, MOUZ, G2 Esports, and Aurora Gaming have a greater than 99% chance of qualifying for the Major. FUT Esports (99.99%), BetBoom Team (98.5%), B8 Esports (97.2%), Astralis (90.1%), Alliance (87.1%), and Inner Circle (79.6%).

Also in the qualifying zone are magic (74.1%), FaZe Clan (70%), BIG (69.7%), PARIVISION (65.9%), and HEROIC (59%). Natus Vincere is estimated at 56%, and Nemiga Gaming at 51.1%.

Meanwhile, HOTU (46.6%), Luminosity Gaming (41.8%), 1w Team (36.4%), 3DMAX (16.4%), and 100 Thieves (15.6%). Further down the list are fnatic (11.2%), Virtus.pro (8.4%), JiJieHao (8.2%), Ninjas in Pyjamas (3.5%), GamerLegion (3%), and Team Nemesis (2.6%).

The PGL Singapore Major 2026 will take place from November 25 to December 13, 2026, in Singapore. The tournament will feature 32 teams competing for the championship title and a share of the $1,250,000 total prize pool.

Photo: Esports Foundation.